Given the market significance of the report it's damn obvious that this would happen. They should have assumed that security via obscurity was simply not enough, and the OBR should have been taking active steps to ensure the data was only available at the correct time.
> Hedge-funds would want to get the file as soon as it would be available - I imagine someone set up a cron-job to try the URL every few minutes.
It's not even just hedge-funds that do this. This is something individual traders do frequently. This practise is common place because a small edge like this with the right strategy is all you need to make serious profits.
This setup was not initially approved, see 1.7 in the document:
> 1.7 Unlike all other IT systems and services, the OBR’s website is locally managed and outside
the gov.uk network. This is the result of an exemption granted by the Cabinet Office in
2013. After initially rejecting an exemption request, the Cabinet Office judged that the OBR
should be granted an exemption from gov.uk in order to meet the requirements of the
Budget Responsibility and National Audit Act. The case for exemption that the OBR made at
the time centred on the need for both real and perceived independence from the Treasury in
the production and delivery of forecasts and other analysis, in particular in relation to the
need to publish information at the right time.
Given the market significance of the report it's damn obvious that this would happen. They should have assumed that security via obscurity was simply not enough, and the OBR should have been taking active steps to ensure the data was only available at the correct time.
> Hedge-funds would want to get the file as soon as it would be available - I imagine someone set up a cron-job to try the URL every few minutes.
It's not even just hedge-funds that do this. This is something individual traders do frequently. This practise is common place because a small edge like this with the right strategy is all you need to make serious profits.