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I’m a newbie, what’s a CDO?


It's a combination of loans. The idea is let's say I have 100 identical loans I made (in reality, there are averages). Further, we agree 5-15% are likely to default. I'm going to get paid 85-95% of the interest + principle. But I want that money now. You want to invest in future cashflow, so I want to sell you a loan. Buying one from me is kinda risky, you may get back 100% or 0% of the interest + principle you expect. So instead I sell all 100 as a lump sum, and you and 99 other people each get 1%.

But, CDOs go a step further. You may have more or less risk tolerance. So we chop it up. You can buy something that gets paid back if 70% of the loans are good, or only if over 70% or over 80%, or even over 90%. The less likely you are to get paid back, the more you make.

So the person who absolutely wants to get paid back gets a small interest rate. The person who only gets paid back if literally every loan pays off gets a much higher rate.

In 2008, what happened is all those people buying the "very safe" 75-85% failure rate sections also were getting wiped out.


Collateralized Debt Obligation, sort of like a bond that's composed from many loans on something you can repossess, like houses or boats. They're notorious because they were involved in the 2008 financial crisis.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cdo.asp

Or if you prefer the Big Short explanation:

https://youtube.com/watch?v=EEXTqtH-Oo4


The Big Short also has an earlier explanation of a non-synthetic CDO ("we just repackage it [low-quality risky debt] along with a bunch of other shit that didn't sell and put it into a CDO"):

https://youtu.be/xbiDrzTd8fE?t=260s


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collateralized_debt_obligation

You take a bunch of loans and bundle them together and securitize the bundle to sell to the public. Mortgage CDOs crashed the global economy in 2007-8.




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