Far in the future? Just 6 months ago, people believed that ChatGPT like model wo... | Hacker News

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		pkoird on March 31, 2023 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: If AI scaling is to be shut down, let it be for a ... Far in the future? Just 6 months ago, people believed that ChatGPT like model would take 10-15 years more. I believe that Andrew himself doesn't really understand how LLMs work. In particular, what is about the increase in their parameters that induces emergence and what exactly is the nature of such Emergence. So yeah, AGI might be far into the future but it might just be tomorrow as well.

mark_l_watson on March 31, 2023 [–]

You are correct about the exponential rate of progress.

I also admit to being an overly optimistic person, so of course my opinion could be wrong.

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