I'm still not convinced that the expansion of the universe is accelerating based on current evidence.
That argument largely comes from supernovae appearing dimmer than we think they should, and more distant things appear more red and it looks that way in any direction we look. But the thing is, we sometimes calculate how distant things are based on redness, so it's kind of circular reasoning.
Sure we have other things which help gauge distance, like brightness and periods of Cepheids, but if you look into history on Cepheids, the association that brightness is directly related to periods was built upon an assumption that the Cepheids in a galaxy were roughly all the same distance away. That may seem probable, but it isn't a given, as galaxies can be at various angles to our perspective, as well as being different size in various dimensions. It also assumes that it is impossible for fake Cepheids to exist, which might even confer a reverse association. How could we know if we're looking at false Cepheids vs real Cepheids, and that there's not multiple types of Cepheids with different causes for pulsations at various brightnesses?
Next you have to consider movement is relative. It's entirely possible a brighter galaxy is moving 2x faster away from us, than a dimmer galaxy that is actually closer to us. Yet this is hardly considered from distance calculations.
Lastly, people also say the Big Bang is not an explosion of matter moving outward to fill an empty universe, but rather an expansion of space between things. IMO, this is mostly just a model, a way of viewing things. The thing is, you can still look at things from normal intuition (of say an explosion), and it still conforms that definition (ie it's objects moving in space over time, vs it's space filling in between objects over time). And so, if looking further into the galaxy, means looking further in time, the dynamics of an explosion suggests that those galaxies will be moving faster away from us. As the outmost debris of an explosion, is the fastest moving debris of an explosion, and speed between two pieces of debris, is highly associated to their relative positions and tends to increase as distance between them increases, even regardless of where they are in an explosion. So even if further galaxies are indeed moving faster away from us, and it is faster the further we look, and looks that way every which way, I don't see why this would necessarily mean the expansion of the universe is accelerating. As it appears to me, it can be predicted by conventional (non-accelerating) explosion dynamics.
Considering the two methods for measuring the rate of the universe’s expansion differ by about 10%, the question seems unsettled at best. You’re not wrong to question it.
That argument largely comes from supernovae appearing dimmer than we think they should, and more distant things appear more red and it looks that way in any direction we look. But the thing is, we sometimes calculate how distant things are based on redness, so it's kind of circular reasoning.
Sure we have other things which help gauge distance, like brightness and periods of Cepheids, but if you look into history on Cepheids, the association that brightness is directly related to periods was built upon an assumption that the Cepheids in a galaxy were roughly all the same distance away. That may seem probable, but it isn't a given, as galaxies can be at various angles to our perspective, as well as being different size in various dimensions. It also assumes that it is impossible for fake Cepheids to exist, which might even confer a reverse association. How could we know if we're looking at false Cepheids vs real Cepheids, and that there's not multiple types of Cepheids with different causes for pulsations at various brightnesses?
Next you have to consider movement is relative. It's entirely possible a brighter galaxy is moving 2x faster away from us, than a dimmer galaxy that is actually closer to us. Yet this is hardly considered from distance calculations.
Lastly, people also say the Big Bang is not an explosion of matter moving outward to fill an empty universe, but rather an expansion of space between things. IMO, this is mostly just a model, a way of viewing things. The thing is, you can still look at things from normal intuition (of say an explosion), and it still conforms that definition (ie it's objects moving in space over time, vs it's space filling in between objects over time). And so, if looking further into the galaxy, means looking further in time, the dynamics of an explosion suggests that those galaxies will be moving faster away from us. As the outmost debris of an explosion, is the fastest moving debris of an explosion, and speed between two pieces of debris, is highly associated to their relative positions and tends to increase as distance between them increases, even regardless of where they are in an explosion. So even if further galaxies are indeed moving faster away from us, and it is faster the further we look, and looks that way every which way, I don't see why this would necessarily mean the expansion of the universe is accelerating. As it appears to me, it can be predicted by conventional (non-accelerating) explosion dynamics.