> People have been historically notoriously bad at predicting how good AI/technology will be in 5-10 years time.
Taking the people who are most incentivized to overhype things to get clicks and/or funding as the consensus view is maybe not the best take here.
If you looked at people in general or engineers in general and looked at the median predicted timeframe, it would've probably been much more conservative.
Taking the people who are most incentivized to overhype things to get clicks and/or funding as the consensus view is maybe not the best take here.
If you looked at people in general or engineers in general and looked at the median predicted timeframe, it would've probably been much more conservative.