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It seems irrational because that's not what's happening.

Those power plants can't be run next winter.

Contracts have been terminated, replacement parts with long lead times haven't been ordered, maintenance windows have been shifted in anticipation of the shutdown. It's possible to write new contracts and order new parts, so they could be back in operation, maybe sometime late in 2023.

But that would still leave them them down precisely in the period that matters most: Next winter.



We don't know what Europe looks like in 2023 but the electricity will probably be useful then too.


At the rate we're going, I'm not so sure. "Bombed-out wasteland" seems possible.


I'd be way more worried about the general populations ability to buy groceries and keep the house warm in the winter.

Globally a lot of harvests are falling through because of floods and heat waves. Combined with the inflation that's just starting to take off... Paying for life's necessities will be challenging for a lot of employed workers


Why would anyone bomb Europe when Europe is already digging its own grave with its energy policies?


A government is a law unto themselves. They have power to do what they need in times of war. Germany shouldn't be pulling a Chamberlain moment while Russia is hot to commit genocide in Europe and roll over whoever they want.


The first person who said words like yours was probably a chieftain long ago who went to his smiths and said "I need my new sword NOW, hurry up with that hardening!"


Nah, this is like saying "we need more weapons for war!" and then breaking three perfectly good swords in front of the blacksmith.


> Contracts have been terminated, replacement parts with long lead times haven't been ordered, maintenance windows have been shifted in anticipation of the shutdown.

Sounds like a long list of lame excuses.


"Excuses"? If you know that your company shuts down one year from now, why would you be ordering spare parts for five years into the future? Especially if you've known that date for twenty years like Germans did?


Sure, sure, but I find difficult to believe that an industrial superpower such as Germany can't find a solution in a couple of months.

The the usual politicians' way of speaking. If there was the political will of having the nuclear power plants works, they would go and find the spare parts in a second. There's no political will (thank you Greens!) so they make up excuses.


Germany is an industrial superpower without military industrial complex and command vertical, meaning that the government is not set up to do such things quickly (in fact, I don’t think even China would be able to move that fast).




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