> biggest single thing that would simplify the tax code is removing the separate capital gains tax and just counting it all as income
That's okay during times like ~1990-2020, a time of wonderfully low dollar inflation. The justification behind the long-term capital gains rate is this: during times of high dollar inflation, taxation on capital asset values turns into an outright tax on investment.
If the dollar is inflating rapidly then an investment which simply maintains its value in real terms -- neither gaining nor losing real value -- will see its value in dollars increase and will therefore be taxed, heavily. The lower rate for capital gains tax was in recognition that not all of that gain in nominal value was real income. All of the major reductions in the long-term capital gains rate (i.e. reduction of the rate, shortening of timespan for "long term", and increase/removal of cap) occurred after highly dollar-inflationary periods (1934, 1942, 1978-1981).
Without a lower capital gains rate, during times of high dollar inflation the wealthy will shift all their money into non-fungible assets (real estate, artwork, patents, Persian rugs, domain names, antiques) which aren't fungible commodities with liquid markets and therefore can't be marked-to-market or taxed until sold. This kind of economy-wide, sudden, and simultaneous disinvestment would be a catastrophe for the economy.
Not to mention the resulting real estate boom would make the homelessness problem an order of magnitude worse in a matter of months. When your money is losing value every day, buying up every apartment in sight, jacking the rent to the moon, and evicting the tenants (so it can sit empty and maintain value without any management effort) is, unfortunately, a great strategy.
Note that the 1990's were a boom time for the US (Cold War peace dividend), and from ~2000-2020 we had a massive onlining of cheap Chinese labor providing a deflationary counterpressure to our outrageous money-printing escapades. All the cheap Chinese labor is now fully online and "Fed go Brrr" is in permanent COVID-hyperdrive, so the party will end real soon now.
> This kind of economy-wide, sudden, and simultaneous disinvestment would be a catastrophe for the economy.
I don't know, it sounds like a great opportunity for the non-super-wealthy to buy shares in productive assets at a discount. Haven't all the prudent people in the room spent the past 8 years grousing about how poor the P/E ratio of the S&P is?
In the long run, you, as a human being who works, retires, and dies, are better off owning a larger share of productive assets, even if you have to pay more taxes on them, than owing fewer productive assets, because the price to buy them is too damn high.
Not to mention that as I get older, I expect my income tax bracket to drop. I'd rather buy productive assets cheaply now, and deal with the tax consequences, than be cut out of buying productive assets, period.
That's okay during times like ~1990-2020, a time of wonderfully low dollar inflation. The justification behind the long-term capital gains rate is this: during times of high dollar inflation, taxation on capital asset values turns into an outright tax on investment.
If the dollar is inflating rapidly then an investment which simply maintains its value in real terms -- neither gaining nor losing real value -- will see its value in dollars increase and will therefore be taxed, heavily. The lower rate for capital gains tax was in recognition that not all of that gain in nominal value was real income. All of the major reductions in the long-term capital gains rate (i.e. reduction of the rate, shortening of timespan for "long term", and increase/removal of cap) occurred after highly dollar-inflationary periods (1934, 1942, 1978-1981).
Without a lower capital gains rate, during times of high dollar inflation the wealthy will shift all their money into non-fungible assets (real estate, artwork, patents, Persian rugs, domain names, antiques) which aren't fungible commodities with liquid markets and therefore can't be marked-to-market or taxed until sold. This kind of economy-wide, sudden, and simultaneous disinvestment would be a catastrophe for the economy.
Not to mention the resulting real estate boom would make the homelessness problem an order of magnitude worse in a matter of months. When your money is losing value every day, buying up every apartment in sight, jacking the rent to the moon, and evicting the tenants (so it can sit empty and maintain value without any management effort) is, unfortunately, a great strategy.
Note that the 1990's were a boom time for the US (Cold War peace dividend), and from ~2000-2020 we had a massive onlining of cheap Chinese labor providing a deflationary counterpressure to our outrageous money-printing escapades. All the cheap Chinese labor is now fully online and "Fed go Brrr" is in permanent COVID-hyperdrive, so the party will end real soon now.