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I think the "uncertain and complex world" trope is a part of the problem here.

I have become very cynical over time about the way intellectuals, academics, trade negotiators, politicians and the media use/abuse complexity to get their own way. Many times when I examine an issue I see a whole lot of people saying how complex the world is, how impossibly nuanced it is and .... the kicker .... therefore you shouldn't attempt to figure it out or have an opinion. You should just do whatever the "experts" recommend even if it's apparently unintuitive or even quite clearly against your own interests. Anyone who doesn't obey this line is written off as ignorant, too stupid to have a vote, etc.

Yet are these issues really so complicated? Often they are not. The complexity, when you take the time to tackle it, ends up being largely artificial.



This seems like the classic, why did it take such a big team so long to build this product, I could have done it in five minutes....

The world is a complex place, problems that seem simple at first glance with the limited information we actually have can turn out to be horrendously complex and hard to solve.

Take Syria - should be simple shouldn't it, all you need to do is support the good guys against the bad guys. Or maybe you send in some troops to defeat the bad guys and restore order.

Which of these factions are the good guys and which are the bad guys?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_armed_groups_in_the_Sy...


this x10


You cannot really help gullible people. If you don't, someone else will take advantage of them...and you probably can't control everyone who does that either.

I don't want to diagnose this result, but it seems like a lack of critical thinking is what is missing from large swathes of the American populace.




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