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You could say it that way, or you could say that they're currently overestimating the effects.




No you can't. That study is comparing past estimates of the past and present to the lived in past and present not past estimates of the future to current estimates of the future.

Okay, but why then do the IPCC reports of the past present vastly different historical data than the present ones? History cannot change, but people can "reinterpret" it for political purposes.

Humans didn't exist since the beginning of time, and we only started to properly record temperatures in the last few centuries. That means we have to determine historical data through the effects it had on our planet. The methods to find this historical data from the effects keep changing and evolving, so it makes complete sense to me that historical data has changed throughout the reports.

Unfortunately you didn't specify where one can find this "vastly different historical data", so I can't get more specific than this.




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