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That's not how pricing works.

If o1-pro is 10% better than Claude, but you are a guy who makes $300,000 per year, but now can make $330,000 because o1-pro makes you more productive, then it makes sense to give Sam $2,400.



Having a tool that’s 10% better doesn’t make your whole work 10% better though.


A "10% better" tool could make no difference, or it could make the work 100% better. The impact isn't linear.


It's likely probabilistically linear... like speeding on a street with random traffic lights.


Right, I should have put a "necessarily" in there.


It also doesn’t magically make you more money either.


Depends on the definition of better. Above example used this definition implicitly as you can see.


Above example makes no sense since it says ChatGPT is 10% better than Claude at first, then pivots to use it as a 10% total productivity enhancer. Which is it?


Yeah, but that's the sales pitch.


Man, why are people making $300k so stupid though


The math is never this clean, and no one has ever experienced this (though I'm sure its a justification that was floated at OAI HQ at least once).


It's never this clean, but it is direction-ally correct. If I make $300k / year, and I can tell that chatgpt already saves me hours or even days per month, $200 is a laughable amount. If I feel like pro is even slightly better, it's worth $200 just to know that I always have the best option available.

Heck, it's probably worth $200 even if I'm not confident it's better just in case it is.

For the same reason I don't start with the cheapest AI model when asking questions and then switch to the more expensive if it doesn't work. The more expensive one is cheap enough that it doesn't even matter, and $200 is cheap enough (for a certain subsection of users) that they'll just pay it to be sure they're using the best option.


That's only true if your time is metered by the hour; and the vast majority of roles which find some benefit from AI, at this time, are not compensated hourly. This plan might be beneficial to e.g. CEO-types, but I question who at OpenAI thought it would be a good idea to lead their 12 days of hollowhype with this launch, then; unless this is the highest impact release they've got (one hopes it is not).


>This plan might be beneficial to e.g. CEO-types, but I question who at OpenAI thought it would be a good idea to lead their 12 days of hollowhype with this launch, then; unless this is the highest impact release they've got (one hopes it is not).

In previous multi-day marketing campaigns I've ran or helped ran (specifically on well-loved products), we've intentionally announced a highly-priced plan early on without all of its features.

Two big benefits:

1) Your biggest advocates get to work justifying the plan/product as-is, anchoring expectations to the price (which already works well enough to convert a slice of potential buyers)

2) Anything you announce afterward now gets seen as either a bonus on top (e.g. if this $200/mo plan _also_ includes Sora after they announce it...), driving value per price up compared to the anchor; OR you're seen as listening to your audience's criticisms ("this isn't worth it!") by adding more value to compensate.


I work from home and my time is accounted for by way of my productive output because I am very far away from a CEO type. If I can take every Wednesday off because I’ve gained enough productivity to do so, I would happily pay $200/mo out of my own pocket to do so.

$200/user/month isn’t even that high of a number in the enterprise software world.


Employers might be willing to get their employees a subscription if they believe it makes their employees they are paying $$$$$ more X% productive. (Where X% of their salary works out to more than $2400/year)


There is only so much time in the day. If you have a job where increased productivity translates to increases income (not just hourly metered jobs) then you will see a benefit.


> cheapest AI model when asking questions and then switch to the more expensive if it doesn't work.

The thing is, more expensive isn't guaranteed to be better. The more expensive models are better most of the time, but not all the time. I talk about this more in this comment https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42313401#42313990

Since LLMs are non-deterministic, there is no guarantee that GPT-4o is better than GPT-4o mini. GPT-4o is most likely going to be better, but sometimes the simplicity of GPT-4o mini makes it better.


As you say, the more expensive models are better most of the time.

Since we can't easily predict which model will actually be better for a given question at the time of asking, it makes sense to stick to the most expensive/powerful models. We could try, but that would be a complex and expensive endeavor. Meanwhile, both weak and powerful models are already too cheap to meter in direct / regular use, and you're always going to get ahead with the more powerful ones, per the very definition of what "most of the time" means, so it doesn't make sense to default to a weaker model.


For regular users I agree, for businesses, it will have to be a shotgun approach in my opinion.

Edit:

I should add, for businesses, it isn't about better, but more about risk as the better model can still be wrong.


TBH it's easily in the other direction. If I can get something to clients quicker that's more valuable.

If paying this gets me two days of consulting it's a win for me.

Obvious caveat if cheaper setups get me the same, although I can't spend too long comparing or that time alone will cost more than just buying everything.


The number of times I've heard all this about some other groundbreaking technology... most businesses just went meh and moved on. But for self-employed, if those numbers are right, it may make sense.


It would be a worthy deal if you started making $302,401 per year.


Also a worthy deal if you don’t lose your $300k/year job to someone who is willing to pay $2,400/year.


Yes. But also from the perspective of saving time. If it saves an additional 2 hours/month, and you make six figures, it's worth it.

And the perspective of frustration as well.

Business class is 4x the price of regular. definitely not 4x better. But it saves times + frustration.


It's not worth it if you're a W2 employee and you'll just spend those 2 hours doing other work. Realistically, working 42 hours a week instead of 40 will not meaningfully impact your performance, so doing 42 hours a week of work in 40 won't, either.

I pay $20/mo for Claude because it's been better than GPT for my use case, and I'm fine paying that but I wouldn't even consider something 10x the price unless it is many, many times better. I think at least 4-5x better is when I'd consider it and this doesn't appear to be anywhere close to even 2x better.


When it comes to sleep, business class is 100x better.


That's also not how pricing works, it's about perceived incremental increases in how useful it is (marginal utility), not about the actual more money you make.


Yeah, the $200 seems excessive and annoying, until you realise it depends on how much it saves you. For me it needs to save me about 6 hours per month to pay for itself.

Funny enough I've told people that baulk at the $20 that I would pay $200 for the productivity gains of the 4o class models. I already pay $40 to OpenAI, $20 to Anthropic, and $40 to cursor.sh.


ah yes, you must work at the company where you get paid per line of code. There's no way productivity is measured this accurately and you are rewarded directly in any job unless you are self-employed and get paid per website or something


I love it when AI bros quantify AI's helpfulness like this


Being in an AI domain does not invalidate the fundamental logic. If an expensive tool can make you productive enough to offset the cost, then the tool is worth it for all intents and purposes.




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